Sunday, 19 November 2017

KERALA AGRICULTURAL PATTERN : TRENDS AND CHALLENGES

Abstract
The agricultural scenario in Kerala is somewhat unique and distinct from other state in India in terms of cropping pattern and land utilization pattern. After the formation of Kerala state there has been diversification in the cropping pattern. In addition to rice and tapioca numbers of other garden land crops have contributed to state’s food supply. Why do the people shift from the production of food grains to nonfood grains? Is it a challenge or not? If it is a challenge what will be the future of our state? Of the total requirements of food grains only 15% is produced in the state. The deficiency in the production of food grains may adversely affect our food security. Thus, the major part of state’ income should be used to buy food grains from other states. How far is it possible? What is the present condition of the state’s income? Who are the real victims? All these questions make the problems of agricultural pattern of Kerala as serious challenges. This paper is an attempt to make an insight into these challenges. Also an attempt has been made to analyze trends in the agricultural pattern of Kerala.
 INTRODUCTION
                  India is a large country having substantial agricultural diversities. Different regions exhibit entirely different characteristics so that no one plan can be conceived for all agricultural regions of the country. The share of agriculture in national income is often taken as an indicator of economic development. Unlike the other regions in India, Kerala state is characterized by extreme diversity in its physical resources and agro-climatic endowment.  In earlier period the choice of cropping pattern was guided by agronomic considerations and consumption needs of farmers but now the market forces decide it.Official reports show that agricultural income in Kerala showed a steady growth up to mid-seventies began to decline thereafter and showed a vacillating trend in the eighties. By the end of eighties cash crops started generating higher income to the farm sector. Thus, people shifted from the production of food crops to cash crops. The question is whether it is a challenge or not? Let us examine it by analyzing trends in the agricultural pattern of Kerala. 
Land use pattern in Kerala
                          Land use implies the utilization of the total available land for agricultural and nonagricultural purposes. Out of the total geographical area of 38,86,287 hectares in Kerala, 55% area as used as cultivable land , 28% area is forest and 12% of area is put under other nonagricultural use. The current net sown area is 52% of the total geographical area. Thus most of the land that is available for cultivation is already under cultivation. Hence the scope of bringing more area under cultivation is marginal and increase in the agricultural production can be achieved mainly through increasing the productivity of crops. The category wise land use in the state in 1955-56 and 2014-15 in Kerala is given in the following diagrams;


52%


 During 1955-56, 48% of total area was used for cultivation in 2004-05 it was 55% and now it has been reduced to 52%. The area under forest has been increased both in absolute terms and percentage during this period. The use of land for nonagricultural purpose has also increased a lot by about 2.28 lakh hectares. Barren and uncultivable land has decreased by 41%, this may be due to mining for construction purposes.
Cropping pattern in Kerala
                         Cropping pattern in Kerala is dominated by cash crops. Food crops comprising of rice, tapioca and pulses accounted for just 10.21% of the total cultivated area in 2015-16 while cash crops constituted 62.8% of the total cultivated area. Trends in the area and production of important crops in Kerala from 1960-61 to 2011-12 are given below;

Area under cultivation of important crops in Kerala (area in’000 hectares)
Sl. No

Crops
1961-62
1971-72
1981-82
1991-92
2001-02
211-12
1
Rice
752.69
875.2
806.9
541.32
322.36
208.16
2
Pulses
43.52
37.8
32.4
24.7
2.9
3.66
3
Pepper
99.85
116.4
108.07
169.7
203.95
85.33
4
Cashewnut
55.02
100.7
142.36
117.3
89.7
54.05
5
Tapioca
236.7
303.3
243.5
142.2
111.18
74.5
6
Coconut
504.8
730.3
652.8
846.2
905.7
820.87
7
Tea
37.4
37.1
36.16
34.7
36.9
37.02
8
Coffee
18.8
32.9
57.9
82.3
84.8
84.41
9
Rubber
133.07
188.6
248
419.2
475.03
539.57
10
cardamom
28.68
47.5
56.37
61.8
41.3
41.6

Trends in Production of Important Crops in Kerala (‘000 tonnes)
Sl. No

Crops
1961-62
1971-72
1981-82
1991-92
2001-02
211-12
1
Rice
988.15
1352
1339.86
1060.22
703.5
568.9
2
Pulses
16.89
13.1
21.41
17.98
6.28
3.12
3
Pepper
26.55
25.1
28.5
41.56
58.24
37.99
4
Cashewnut
84.44
113
79.82
97.91
65.86
36.74
5
Tapioca
1618.71
5429
4041.16
2737.35
2455.89
2567.95
6
Coconut
3247
4054
3024
4206
5479
5941
7
Tea
37.42
43
50.71
68.38
66.09
57.9
8
Coffee
8.14
14.1
26.98
34
66.7
68.17
9
Rubber
24.59
89
139.45
343.1
580.35
788.94
10
cardamom
1.26
1.51
2.8
2.78
8.38
10.22

A look at the area and production of crops reveals worrisome trend and it is alarming in the case of food crops such as paddy and tapioca an several other important crops of the state including coconut. The total area under food crops in the 1970s was around 20 lakh hectares. Presently it is in the region of 13 lakh hectares. There has been a steady decline in the cultivation area of paddy from the middle of the 1970s; after reaching a peak of 8.8 lakh hectares in 1974-75. In 2011-12 it is just 2.08 lakh hectares, here is a huge loss about 6.7 lakh hectares. Presently the area under paddy cultivation is less than 10% of the gross cropped area as against 30% in 1970s. Naturally the production of rice also has declined in similar fashion in the absence of significant increase in productivity. In 2011-12, the production of rice was around 5.67 lakh tones as against a peak of 1.4 lakh tones in 1972-73. It is so inadequate that it can meet only one- fifth of the state’s requirements.
                      The crops such as coconut and tapioca, which are very important in the life of the people of the state, have also recorded sharp decline in area and production in recent years, particularly after launching the liberalization policies. At the same time, the area and production of some cash crops like rubber, coffee recorded significant increases. Thus it is necessary to analyses why the people shift from the production of food grains to nonfood crops and its severe consequences.
Why do the people shift from food crops to nonfood crops?
                         Marginalization of agricultural holdings due to extreme subdivision and fragmentation and the decreasing trend in the family participation in farm operations with resultant increase in production costs and dominance of perennial crops make Kerala agriculture more vulnerable. Relatively high profitability of cash crops and plantations, the higher labor intensive and seasonal nature of cultivation and the increasing wage rate, the exemption of plantation crops from land reform act, phenomenal increase in the export price of many of the plantation crops and cashewnut, the promotional activities by the Government in the area of plantations and cash crops etc. have definitely encouraged the cultivators in Kerala to opt for higher valued cash crops or plantations wherever possible and to curtail the area under rice and other food grains to the minimum.

Is it a challenge?
                 Generally the shift from food crops to cash crops should increase the contribution of agriculture sector to the total income of the state. But in case of Kerala it has not happened. Otherwise it declined the share. Recent years have witnessed severe stagnation in the growth of the agricultural sector. According to data from the Directorate of Economics and Statistics using 011-12 as base year, agriculture and allied sectors recorded a growth rate of 1.43% in the first year 2012-13 of the 12th plan period. The share of agriculture and allied sector in the total GSDP of Kerala has also declined from 14.38% in 2011-12 to 11.48% in 2014-15 and to 10.38% in 2015-16.
                 Furthermore, it may also affect our food security as well as the stability of the state. According to Government figures, Kerala’s total food grain requirement in 1997 was 48 lakh tones a year and internal production accounted for only 10 lakh tones. That is, of the total requirements of food grains only 1/5 is produced in the state. However the state had learned to cope with the fact that it was not self-sufficient in food grains production by maintaining what has often been hailed as the most effective Public Distribution System(PDS) in the country, which ensures access to food grains to almost the entire population using imports from other states. The introduction of universal rationing and the evolution and expansion of the PDS in the state was based on a tacit understanding between the central and state Government, with the former taking the responsibility of adequate food availability to meet the state’s food requirements. Thus the PDS in the state was not to be considered as a mere concession to the poor but as a system essential for food security in an acute food deficit state. The current situation in the Kerala, on the rice front is dismal. The vastly dwindling acreage under paddy and the greatly reduced off take from the PDS (since the introduction of TPDS) have made majority of the population dependent on the market for their rice purchase. In fact, sufficient grounds didn’t exist for introducing TPDS in a state which had a well-functioning PDS, bestowing progressively larger benefits to the poor. In this context, the stability of the state is questioning. Let’s examine it.
First, as 25% of Kerala’s population have been termed BPL by the planning commission, the guaranteed and subsidized allocation of grain for BPL households under the TPDS accounts for only 10% of the previous PDS supply. The Kerala Government has identified 42% of households as BPL households and is providing the BPL subsidy to these households from the state budget. Thus a major parts of state’s income should be used to maintain food security. How far is it possible? At present Kerala is experiencing deficit budget. That is the public expenditure is greater than the public revenue. According to 2017-18 state budget, the total expenditure on revenue account is estimated to be almost Rs.1, 096.2 billion and the revenue receipts have been pegged at Rs.935.8 billion, leading to a deficit of Rs.160.4 billion. The budget has pegged the fiscal deficit at Rs.257.5 billion or 3.4% of the GSDP. The continuous deficiency in the food grain production may further increase the public expenditure and debt and it will adversely affect state’s stability. Thus, changes in the cropping pattern make serious challenges.
A situation of utterly inadequate domestic production of food grains and other food articles can have serious implications for the food security of the state. The decline in area of a few crops is normally compensated by a corresponding expansion in the area of other crops. What is surprising in the context of Kerala is that this is not happening. Instead, the tendencies like large scale fallowing of land, conversion of farm lands for other purposes, nominal or non-intensive cultivation, leasing, etc., are increasingly gaining ground. This is reflected in the decline in net sown area on the one hand and in the increase in area under non-agricultural uses, and fallow on the other. The practice of leasing land is particularly significant as it was completely stopped by the early 1970s and any form of tenancy is illegal in the post-land reform Kerala
Who are the real victims?
                     We have seen that the shift from the production of food grains to nonfood crops have severe challenges to the state’s food security and stability. Here a question is arising that who are the real victims. Recent studies state that “to give stagnant agricultural growth a boost, a shift must be made from concentrating on the country’s food security to focusing on the farmer’s income security”. (a study by Vishavjeet Chaudhary and Gursharan Singh on what is the future of agriculture in India?, 2016). From this its clear that the real victims are the farmers. Their income security is questioning now. Eventhough they had shifted from the food crops to cash crops by considering its benefits, they are not able to compete with fluctuations in the market price. Thus it has both positive as well as negative sides. Appropriate measures from the part of Government are necessary here.
                          The crisis is not just a relative decline of agriculture; it is more severe as reflected in absolute decline in employment, production and income generated in the sector, worsening of the food security situation, and growing indebtedness and misery of peasants and agricultural laborers (Nair and Menon 2009, Mohanakumar and Sharma 2006). Large scale conversion and filling up of wet land, mainly paddy land, reported from almost everywhere in the state is leading to an ecosystem crisis. The decline of agriculture tends to knock down allied activities such as animal husbandry, poultry, village industries and the rural economy in general. The crisis has affected almost every crop in the non-plantation sector, and its impact was felt almost everywhere in the state, leaving hardly any region out of its influence. The state has lost much of its cropping diversity; across crops as well as within each crop (the state lost many rice varieties). The indiscriminate impact of the crisis, reaching every region as well as crops, underlines the need to search for general factors for the crisis, instead of confining to crop or region specific issues.
The literature has come up with a host of apparent and immediate causes such as decline in area, stagnation in yield, technological backwardness, absence of mechanization, labor shortage, high wages, instability in product prices, environmental degeneration, preponderance of small holdings,etc. The study by Kannan and Pushpangadan (1988) situates the problem in the context of declining yield rates (particularly of paddy) and increasing real wages of agricultural labor. The decline in yield and production is chiefly attributed to the inadequate and ill-conceived development of critical factors such as water management and land development, a problem aggravated by environmental degradation since the mid-seventies. Kannan and Pushpangadan (1990) showed a relationship between low yield and decline in area as the low yield areas registered a higher level of decline in cultivated area. Apart from paddy, a number of other crops also have witnessed stagnation in yield. This indicates that there is a technological stagnation in non-plantation agriculture since the mid-seventies.
                     Recently Department of Agriculture has taken several initiatives for the improvement of agricultural sector included integrated food crop production programme focusing on self-sufficiency in vegetable production including comprehensive rice development, modernization of existing farms and labs and establishment of new labs, institutional mechanism for marketing, focusing initially on vegetables development of farmers markets and setting up of agriculture markets, production and distribution of quality planting materials, comprehensive fallow land cultivation, strenghtening extension activities, Agricultural Technology Management (ATMA) plus model of extension, rejuvenation of spices economy, crop health management covering pests and disease surveillance, promotion of organic farming and safe food production, crops insurance, establishment of 20 Agro Service Centers(ASCs) and strenghtening the existing ACSs for improved service delivery, revival package for pepper in Wyanad. In 2016-17 Harithakeralam Mission has been launched focusing on food crop production, waste management and water resource conservation and development.
                       However there is a strong correlation between stability in agricultural production and food security. Thus along with provision of cash crops we must have to consider the production of food crops. R.Amalorpavanthan, Chief General Manager, National Bank for Agriculture and Rural Development (NABARD) has called for new strategies to increase food production in the country. According to him, despite having achieved surplus production, India produces much lower than what it is capable of. The reason is lower productivity ratio. A shift in technology wills catapults the country’s food production and food grain exports. Kerala can be self-sufficient in production of fruits and vegetables only if the right technology is tapped. Technology is also available for preservation and product diversification”.
                        As already mentioned, in Kerala, the reality is that not even one tenth of the paddy required for consumption in Kerala is produced domestically. Therefore, agricultural self-sufficiency in the state cannot be ensured without increasing the area of cultivation, particularly that of paddy. And along with this increase, productivity should be maximized in the existing land through effective technologies. Modern technology could be used to combat the effects of climate change. According to Dr. Siddique, Director Institute of Agriculture, University of Western Australia, use of modern systems such as Geographic Information System and Global Positioning System to assess environmental damage is as important as diagnosing diseases. We blissfully ignore environmental analysis as we are callous about the impact of environmental damage. We don’t assess the climate sufficiently early. Making climate prediction at regional level is important for making farming profitable.” Thus instead of reducing the area and production of food grains, effective management of the existing programs and the introduction of modern technologies  in the agricultural sector are necessary to tackle the problems of  Kerala agricultural pattern.

References :
·         Economic Review,(2016,vol.1)
·         K.N.Harilal & K.K.Eswaran(2015),'Agrarian Question & the Local Government in Kerala', CDS
·         Monitoring and Evaluation Division's report on 'An Analytical Study on Agriculture in Kerala, Dept. of Agriculture', 2016.
·         Vishavjeet Chaudhary & Gursharan Singh (2014),'What is the future of agriculture in India'.
·         K.Santhosh(2015),'Alter crop pattern in Kerala'.
·         Shruthi Cyriac, Vishishta Sam and Noami Jacob,'The PDS System in Kerala: A Review'.
·         Shodhganga.inflibnet.ac.in.



KERALA AGRICULTURAL PATTERN : TRENDS AND CHALLENGES Abstract The agricultural scenario in Kerala is somewhat unique and distinct fro...